One of these disturbances is a low pressure area (LPA) located outside PAR, along with cloud clusters that have the potential to develop into an LPA within the country’s jurisdiction.
The state meteorologist indicated that the cloud clusters forming north of Luzon are expected to evolve into a low pressure area (LPA) either Thursday or Friday, with the potential to strengthen into a tropical cyclone over the weekend. If this occurs, it may be named "Julian," marking the 10th cyclone to impact the Philippines since January.
"An LPA may develop today or tomorrow, and by the weekend, it could turn into a tropical storm, remaining close to northern Luzon, specifically east of Batanes," explained Pagasa specialist Benison Estareja during an early morning weather report.
“If this weather disturbance impacts the area, it will mainly affect Northern Luzon. Should it develop into a storm, it will be named ‘Julian,’ making it the tenth storm of 2024 and the sixth for September,” Estareja added.
(If it does affect any regions, the primary impact will be on Northern Luzon. If it evolves into a tropical cyclone, it will be called “Julian,” marking it as the tenth tropical cyclone of 2024 and the sixth for September.)
Regarding the LPA situated outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR), Pagasa reported that its most recent data indicated it is located approximately 2,750 kilometers east of Central Luzon. The state weather agency stated that this LPA is "less likely" to enter PAR, as it is projected to move towards the North Pacific Ocean and could develop into a light storm by Thursday or Friday.
Pagasa also indicated that the weather forecast for Thursday shows cloudy conditions and rain in Palawan as well as parts of Visayas and Mindanao, attributed to the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ).
"This ITCZ is the area where winds from the northern and southern hemispheres meet, resulting in a higher likelihood of cloudiness in that region," Estareja explained.
Easterlies, or winds originating from the Pacific Ocean, will continue to affect the country’s weather on Thursday, Estareja added.
According to Pagasa, Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon can expect generally warm conditions on Thursday.
“Our weather conditions will be similar to yesterday, with partly cloudy to overcast skies. In the afternoon or evening, there may be sudden rainfall or localized thunderstorms, which will typically last only two to three hours,” Pagasa stated.
There are no gale warnings issued for any of the country's seaboards on Thursday, September 26.
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